Where will Rivian stock be in 2030?
In the most optimistic scenario, Rivian stock would stage a spectacular comeback and rally to $50 by 2030. However, in a more pessimistic scenario, Rivian could run out of money next year and file for bankruptcy. No one knows for sure whether RIVN stock will become a hero or a zero by 2030. Based on the latest financial disclosure, Rivian Automotive has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 50. This is 20. Automobiles sector and 9. Consumer Discretionary industry.Rivian: High risk/high reward Most investors should probably wait until Rivian achieves a few more milestones before buying the upstart EV company.Jeff Bezos led the $700 million investment round. Rivian, a startup in the electric vehicle space, has been making waves lately.Rivian appears to be on a steady path toward turning around its business. The company expects to break even on a gross profit basis this year, compared to negative gross profit of $1. EBITDA breakeven by 2027.Revenues have grown significantly over the past few years, but the company’s ebit margin of -57. Rivian is still digging for profitability. Operating at a loss is not uncommon for newbies in the electric vehicle space.
Will Rivian make it to 2026?
Investors are looking ahead to the 2026 launch of lower-priced models on the R2 platform. Analysts project Rivian’s 2026 sales to increase by 56% year over year to approximately 66,000 EVs, driven by new models and advanced driver-assistance systems. Rivian is becoming more operationally efficient, and the company expects to deliver up to 155,000 vehicles annually starting in 2026. While this points to good news for investors, they should also expect continued volatility for the stock price.In the most optimistic scenario, Rivian stock would stage a spectacular comeback and rally to $50 by 2030. However, in a more pessimistic scenario, Rivian could run out of money next year and file for bankruptcy. No one knows for sure whether RIVN stock will become a hero or a zero by 2030.According to InvestingPro data, Rivian appears overvalued compared to its Fair Value estimate. Rivian delivered 9,745 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, representing a 31% year-over-year decline, slightly above Morgan Stanley’s estimate of 9,525 but below the consensus forecast of 10,100 vehicles.The biggest and most notable backer of Rivian has been Amazon, both before and after the company was publicly listed in 2021. It was well documented that Amazon ordered 100,000 trucks from Rivian to be used as Amazon Prime delivery vehicles and Amazon still holds around 17% of the company’s shares in 2025.
Will Rivian survive in 2025?
Though the EV market is expected to grow through 2030, Rivian projects full-year 2025 revenue of $4. The hope is that the new R2 release and fleet sales could boost revenue further. Big things could be ahead for Rivian, or not With roughly $7 billion in cash on the balance sheet at the end of the third quarter of 2025, it should have more than enough money to finish out the massive capital investment required to see the R2 effort through to completion.Rivian is only appropriate for aggressive growth investors willing to buy and hold for the long term. It is losing money and still spending heavily to build out its business. And yet, it is making important progress toward its goals.Rivian’s Q4 deliveries fell sharply as some demand was likely pulled from Q4 into Q3 ahead of a federal incentive deadline. The company is pushing toward the launch of its new R2 vehicle in the first half of 2026. Rivian continues to burn through its cash as it remains unprofitable.New partnerships, like the one with Volkswagen, and innovations in AI and autonomous driving, along with increasing brand recognition, all point to a fruitful future for Rivian and its investors. Overall profitability and long-term positive stock returns don’t seem so far off now.In the most optimistic scenario, Rivian stock would stage a spectacular comeback and rally to $50 by 2030. However, in a more pessimistic scenario, Rivian could run out of money next year and file for bankruptcy. No one knows for sure whether RIVN stock will become a hero or a zero by 2030.
How long until Rivian is profitable?
At this point, Rivian has achieved scale on the manufacturing front. It has, like Tesla did years ago, shifted toward improving its cost structure so it can produce vehicles more profitably. To that end, Rivian managed to turn a gross profit at the end of 2024 and again in the first quarter of 2025. Jeff Bezos led the $700 million investment round. Rivian is looking for people with expertise in powertrain development, batteries, motors, software, controls, and manufacturing engineering.It’s number one in owner satisfaction, according to the vaunted Consumer Reports Automotive Brand Report Card, 2026 edition. In] the latest results,” a RivianTrackr commentary said, “85 percent of Rivian owners say they would buy their vehicle all over again, which is higher than any other brand surveyed.New partnerships, like the one with Volkswagen, and innovations in AI and autonomous driving, along with increasing brand recognition, all point to a fruitful future for Rivian and its investors. Overall profitability and long-term positive stock returns don’t seem so far off now.
How many cars will Rivian produce in 2025?
Rivian Automotive, Inc. RIVN, a California-based electric vehicle (EV) company, delivered 42,247 vehicles in 2025, down from 51,579 in 2024, while production totaled 42,284 units compared with 49,476 a year earlier. Rivian’s deal with Volkswagen is a major catalyst for the EV maker. Volkswagen will invest up to $5. Rivian and their joint venture (JV) by 2027.Volkswagen is pumping $5. Rivian because it thinks the US carmaker’s e-hardware is “the most advanced” in the world right now.
Is Jeff Bezos investing in Rivian?
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Bezos, through Amazon, invested in Rivian early on and Amazon now owns about 16% of the company. Amazon is also still the largest shareholder of Rivian, with 17% of its shares in their name, but despite this, neither Amazon nor its billionaire founder Jeff Bezos own, or have ever owned, Rivian.Institutional investors hold the majority of Rivian shares. As of November 2025, Amazon. Inc (AMZN). Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3) and Abdul Latif Jameel IPR Company Limited.Top institutional holders Institutional investors hold the majority of Rivian shares. As of November 2025, Amazon. Inc (AMZN). Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3) and Abdul Latif Jameel IPR Company Limited. Amazon. Inc.Should you be buying Rivian Automotive stock or one of its competitors? The main competitors of Rivian Automotive include Amazon. AMZN), Lucid Group (LCID), Tesla (TSLA), Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Stellantis (STLA), Ferrari (RACE), Honda Motor (HMC), XPENG (XPEV), and Li Auto (LI).